I bumped into this story from “The Exponential View”. This is a newsletter that arrives by e mail once per week. I highly recommend it.
A link to the story. And a peek
The burst of tree planting was part of a wider reforestation campaign named “Green Legacy,” spearheaded by the country’s Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed. Millions of Ethiopians across the country were invited to take part in the challenge and within the first six hours, Ahmed tweeted that around 150 million trees had been planted.
But there is some bad news as well
Whether Donald Trump wants this to happen or not, awareness of the dangers of climate change is growing. My best guess is that it will grow further and that lots of people will get more angry about it as they begin to realize that their lives, and the lives of their kids, are headed for disruption.
What will they, and we do about it? Good question. Part of the problem will be addressed by innovation. Sustainable energy production costs are falling and will continue to fall, meaning we are weaning ourselves from fossil fuels in at least some areas.Tony Seba predicts that
Exponentially improving technologies such as solar, electric vehicles, and autonomous (self-driving) cars will disrupt and sweep away the energy and transportation industries as we know it. The same Silicon Valley ecosystem that created bit-based technologies that have disrupted atom-based industries is now creating bit- and electron-based technologies that will disrupt atom-based energy industries.
Clean Disruption projections (based on technology cost curves, business model innovation as well as product innovation) show that by 2030:
– All new energy will be provided by solar or wind.
– All new mass-market vehicles will be electric.
– All of these vehicles will be autonomous (self-driving) or semi-autonomous.
– The car market will shrink by 80%.
– Gasoline will be obsolete. Nuclear is already obsolete. Natural Gas and Coal will be obsolete.
– Up to 80% of highways will not be needed.
– Up to 80% of parking spaces will not be needed.
– The concept of individual car ownership will be obsolete.
– The Car Insurance industry will be disrupted. The taxi industry will be obsolete.
Will that be enough to avert disaster? No one really knows.
And we may need to get used to the idea that not knowing this is a major piece of news in itself. It should be a headline in NYT — We do not know if we are headed for climate disaster. But as Al Wenger points out, we are hugely distracted from this story by what we see in media. We do not see the monster staring at us from the mirror. We do not yet accept that we are potentially the agents of our destruction.
. How will we react to this growing self.-awareness? Stay tuned on this one. It is one of the huge stories of the 21st century