After the Great Debate, Time for the Scorecards

The marathon race to capture the nomination of the Democratic Party for the 2020 presidential race had its latest event last night – yet another debate.

Did we learn anything? Yes.

First, good old Joe Biden is fading. Joe is a nice guy but let’s face it. He is too old. He is already showing that a year before the election.

Second, Elizabeth Warren is  now the front runner. Her strategy to come out strong on policy issues is paying off. We enter a new phase to see if she will climb further or stumble.

Third, Pete Buttigieg is emerging as the moderate heir to Biden and alternative to Warren.

There are two games going on here. One is a policy game. Will the dems go progressive or moderate? Warren and Sanders are the leading progressives. Buttigieg and Biden are the leading moderates. It is too early to tell how this will shake out, but my best guess is that the dems will go progressive. Why? They generate more enthusiasm.

Second is a personality game. Which candidate captures the imaginations of the voters? I think some of the candidates are losing out here already. O’Rourke, for example, has not shown “star quality” that he had hoped he could. Ditto for Harris. The major personalities so far are Sanders, Biden and Warren.

Vox has a more detailed analysis. Enjoy!

 

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